451 CAOS Theory 
A blog for the enterprise open source community
Ellison’s case against open source business models is compelling – or is it?
Christopher Noble, April 18, 2006 @ 8:11 am ETIn the FT interview mentioned by Raven below Oracle CEO Larry Ellison weighs in on the twin topics of software as a service and the long-term viability, or otherwise of open source business models.
In large part the interview is good old fashion Ellison knock-about in which he takes the opportunity to give both JBOSS and Red Hat a kicking after the the acquisition. However the rough and tumble is interspersed with insightful comments and … to be honest… comments that suggest that Ellison hasn’t thought through all of the issues with regard to open source models.
Tomorrow, I’ll look at Ellison’s suggestion that Oracle might create its own Linux distribution. But first a look at his thoughts on the open source business model.
In terms of insight, Ellison is at his best and worst when asked whether open source models could be disruptive to Oracle. His answer?
“No. If an open source product gets good enough, we’ll simply take it. Take Apache: once Apache got better than our own web server, we threw it away and took Apache. So the great thing about open source is nobody owns it – a company like Oracle is free to take it for nothing, include it in our products and charge for support, and that’s what we’ll do. So it is not disruptive at all – you have to find places to add value.”
Spot on… nearly. The 451 Group’s argument has always been that proprietary software companies are negligent if they fail to exploit the good work done by open source projects. Ellison clearly sees the potential to simply grab the good stuff. But as for his assertion that this caused no disruption to Oracle. Really? Nobody from the original team had to be laid of off redeployed? There was no reorganization? Counsel didn’t have to examine the Apache license and decide on its ramifications, there were no discussions on whether to contribute to the ongoing development of Apache or to fork it? Surely there was just a little disruption.
Of course Ellison could have meant that there was no disruption to Oracle’s business model and in that he is right… nearly. His last clause belies the problem: “…you have to find places to add value” he says. Before Apache’s web server came along, Oracle’s own web server clearly did have value, in terms of Oracle-owned intellectual capital. I’m sure the company’s salesforce claimed that the Oracle server was the bees knees in terms of robustness, scalability, performance and whatnot. With the advent of Apache that value evaporated and Oracle had to shift its business model somewhat to find additional value elsewhere. You can see how increasing reliance on open source software would continue to shift and disrupt a business model.
This takes us to his appreciation of the open source business model in general and Red Hat in particular.
Ellison’s general feeling appears to be that he would never spend big money on an open source company because apart from the brand and the people it owns nothing. The technology can be appropriated by anyone and the business can simply be duplicated. He talks about the problem of another company setting up and offering support fot an open source product, cutting the ground from under the original vendor’s feet.
This argument is correct as far as it goes, but misses the fact that companies with pure-play open-source business models are likely to get their money from consulting, service and integration work. His criticisms of the open source model therefore should apply to equally to all consulting and integration firms therefore; bad news for the likes of EDS and Accenture. But since large, well capitalized integrators do exist, we can assume that it should be possible to build large, well capitalized open source-based companies. The companies have a delicate juggling act, balancing the the open source development, with community input and the money-spinning support side, but nothing makes it impossible to achieve. The only problem that open source companies face is that that dominance can only be achieved through excellence, rather than vendor lock-in.
Moreover integration and consulting revenue streams should, by all rights be more accessible to the company that actually spends its time writing the code and building the overall distribution. In other words, while it is always going to be possible for another company to support and integrate Red Hat Linux, Red Hat itself, should have an unfair advantage.
If As Ellison claims, Red Hat is “not supporting the customers very well” that is entirely to do with the specifics of Red Hat and nothing to do with any intrinsic weakness in the open source model. Of course, that could just be some more of Larry’s rough and tumble.
free viagra
buy viagra online
generic viagra
how does viagra work
cheap viagra
buy viagra
buy viagra online inurl
viagra 6 free samples
viagra online
viagra for women
viagra side effects
female viagra
natural viagra
online viagra
cheapest viagra prices
herbal viagra
alternative to viagra
buy generic viagra
purchase viagra online
free viagra without prescription
viagra attorneys
free viagra samples before buying
buy generic viagra cheap
viagra uk
generic viagra online
try viagra for free
generic viagra from india
fda approves viagra
free viagra sample
what is better viagra or levitra
discount generic viagra online
viagra cialis levitra
viagra dosage
viagra cheap
viagra on line
best price for viagra
free sample pack of viagra
viagra generic
viagra without prescription
discount viagra
gay viagra
mail order viagra
viagra inurl
generic viagra online paypal
generic viagra overnight
generic viagra online pharmacy
generic viagra uk
buy cheap viagra online uk
suppliers of viagra
how long does viagra last
viagra sex
generic viagra soft tabs
generic viagra 100mg
buy viagra onli
generic viagra online without prescription
viagra energy drink
cheapest uk supplier viagra
viagra cialis
generic viagra safe
viagra professional
viagra sales
viagra free trial pack
viagra lawyers
over the counter viagra
best price for generic viagra
viagra jokes
buying viagra
viagra samples
viagra sample
cialis
generic cialis
cheapest cialis
buy cialis online
buying generic cialis
cialis for order
what are the side effects of cialis
buy generic cialis
what is the generic name for cialis
cheap cialis
cialis online
buy cialis
cialis side effects
how long does cialis last
cialis forum
cialis lawyer ohio
cialis attorneys
cialis attorney columbus
cialis injury lawyer ohio
cialis injury attorney ohio
cialis injury lawyer columbus
prices cialis
cialis lawyers
viagra cialis levitra
cialis lawyer columbus
online generic cialis
daily cialis
cialis injury attorney columbus
cialis attorney ohio
cialis cost
cialis professional
cialis super active
how does cialis work
what does cialis look like
cialis drug
viagra cialis
cialis to buy new zealand
cialis without prescription
free cialis
cialis soft tabs
discount cialis
cialis generic
generic cialis from india
cheap cialis sale online
cialis daily
cialis reviews
cialis generico
how can i take cialis
cheap cialis si
cialis vs viagra
levitra
generic levitra
levitra attorneys
what is better viagra or levitra
viagra cialis levitra
levitra side effects
buy levitra
levitra online
levitra dangers
how does levitra work
levitra lawyers
what is the difference between levitra and viagra
levitra versus viagra
which works better viagra or levitra
buy levitra and overnight shipping
levitra vs viagra
canidan pharmacies levitra
how long does levitra last
viagra cialis levitra
levitra acheter
comprare levitra
levitra ohne rezept
levitra 20mg
levitra senza ricetta
cheapest generic levitra
levitra compra
cheap levitra
levitra overnight
levitra generika
levitra kaufen
Categories: M&A, Software
Comments RSS feed | Trackback URI




And how about the elephant in the bedroom in Larry’s comments - the long-term threat to Oracle’s core database business from the likes of PostgreSQL. I’m sure if they could have acquired MySQL, they would have - it’s more easily relegated to the database ghetto of websites, log parsing, and less-critical applications. But PostgreSQL has always represented more of a threat - all the more so since, unlike MySQL, the knowledge and IP is dispersed throughout a global community rather than concentrated in one acquirable company.
Great point, Ned. I wonder how cavalier Ellison will be when he finds Oracle scrambling to “find places to add value” in its core RDBMS business? As if adding value were ever easy.
Yes, I was wondering that - the logical conclusion from his comments on Apache is that he would jettison the Oracle DB in favour of a better open source one if such a beast ever arrived. Finding a new place to add value then might prove a tad disruptive.
Excellent article, thanks. Larry Ellison always manages to do two things in any discussion - he shows he is brilliant at first, but very quickly with his swagger makes sure that one forgets his brilliance. Larry Ellison however is very clear about putting money where his mouth is, and he will be keenly following how the open source movement evolves and makes money
On a tangential point, making revenues from free & open source software is one of the most frequently asked questions these days. While there have been a few successful examples of companies (like MySQL, Red Hat etc) which are making money, I’d surmise that these are still very early days for open source revenue & profit models.
While open source as an operational paradigm certainly has been having exceptional success against proprietary and closed-software models in the recent past, in my opinion, a lot more thought need to be given and experimentations done before the emergence of viable revenue models for the free & open source models that can successfully compete with the current proprietary software revenue model. Some specifics of the business models are emerging fast, but it will take a few years for the market to test each of these out and hopefully, the fittest will survive.
A site that focuses exclusively on revenue models from open source is Follars.com – Free, Open-source Dollars!
Ec @ IT, Software Database @ eIT.in